Infrastructure can be described as the building blocks of society, which we classify into three main groups:
Over the past three decades, infrastructure has gained acceptance among institutional investors, evidenced by the $367 billion of committed capital yet to be deployed — this despite the challenging 2023 fundraising environment.[1] In addition, global institutional investors are around 1% under-invested to the asset class, with many expected to increase target portfolio allocations further, up from the 5% average.[2]
In recent years, infrastructure has been garnering even more attention among investors due to its ability to hedge inflation. Revenue models typically allow for periodic escalation explicitly or implicitly tied to inflation as well as cost pass-throughs to end users. For example, electric utilities often have three- to five-year rate agreements (i.e., what they can charge customers based on an allowable return on equity) as set by regulators combined with power generation revenues typically driven by market power prices. Aside from the inherent inflation linkages, other attractive attributes of the asset class include:
These unique characteristics have enabled infrastructure to produce stable, noncorrelated performance versus traditional asset classes. According to the MSCI Global Quarterly Private Infrastructure Index, a benchmark that represents the global private infrastructure landscape, private infrastructure has returned 10.44% since inception of the index compared with the NCREIF ODCE with 5.40% and NCREIF Global Real Estate Fund Index with 2.89%.Figure 1 further illustrates performance of real estate versus broader asset markets.[3] In addition, given infrastructure assets’ long-term useful lives and debt tenors, valuation assumptions are less sensitive to short-term interest rate fluctuations versus other private markets assets. For instance, private core infrastructure discount rates held relatively steady throughout the past four years compared other segments such as private core real estate which are currently resetting higher from the early 2022 lows (i.e. putting downward pressure on underlying asset valuations).
Source: eVestment
Looking ahead, our focus will remain on areas of the market benefiting from thematic demand drivers projected to remain in place over the foreseeable future. Examples include global connectivity (digital), environmental issues (energy transition) and demographics (economic, social, energy security).
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