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Building climate resilience in food and beverage

Food and beverage futures

By Sharon Palmer , Uriel Zajaczkovski , Hristo Markov and Richard Bater | October 31, 2024

Modeling the impact of climate risks over time and under different scenarios can provide insights to help food and beverage businesses plan, adapt and mitigate their risks.
Climate
ESG In Sight

Climate has a huge impact on the sector, affecting everything from where crops can be grown to the risk of extreme weather events, such as flooding and droughts. 71% of respondents to WTW’s Global Food, Beverage and Agriculture Risk Report 2024, named climate change as among the top environmental factors posing the greatest risk to their business.

In this blog, we look at the industry’s climate risks, what you can do to manage and mitigate them and how analytics can help you assess and manage the impact on your business.

Why are food and beverage companies at risk?

Climate change

Climate change is leading to shifts in temperature and rainfall patterns and altering the likelihood and magnitude of extreme events. As climate change accelerates, these changes will create deeper long-term impacts across the food and beverage value chain, not only affecting production assets, but also key inputs and dependencies, such as nature, water, and raw commodities.

Failure to proactively manage climate uncertainty could expose food and beverage companies to higher costs and loss of revenue. To get ahead of these risks and meet evolving stakeholder expectations, food and beverage businesses should consider climate risk in decisions about facility location, raw material sourcing and product demand planning.

Supply chain resilience

Businesses are becoming increasingly interconnected and supply chains more complex. A climate event in one location has the potential to affect the whole supply chain. Some parts of the supply chain may be more at risk from climate related impacts than others.

Mandatory disclosure requirements

Companies are increasingly required to disclose their preparedness, and long-term plans and strategy around climate risk, both in terms of financial risk and their impact on the environment. Climate risk reporting rules increasingly require businesses to take account of the risks their suppliers are exposed to.

Availability and accuracy of data

Many food and beverage companies don’t have the tools or data to understand how climate change will affect them at each of their locations. This exposes them to heightened risks of asset stranding, business interruption and input cost volatility. Left unmitigated, these risks could affect asset valuation and lead to erosion of earnings.

What can you do to get ahead of the challenges?

Understand your risks: Consider which of your assets are most at risk from different climate events now and in the future and how these risks will impact your business, supply chain and customers. Make sure you understand what your suppliers are doing to mitigate their risks – ask to see their business continuity plans and check how their plan aligns with yours.

Use analytics to model the risks: Being able to model the impact of climate change in all your locations over time and under various climate scenarios provides insights to help plan, adapt to and mitigate the risks.

Gather and report data: Gathering and analyzing data helps you understand and measure the risks. Put systems in place to gather accurate and verifiable data at your key locations and from your suppliers. Make sure you know what information you’re required to report on.

Set your strategy: Businesses are increasingly being asked to disclose their long-term plans and strategy around climate risk.

Develop a business continuity plan: Include how you’ll respond to climate incidents. Review and audit the plan regularly to make sure it’s up to date and fit for purpose.

Review your insurance: Review your current coverage to make sure it’s adequate to cover existing and emerging risks. Consider alternative risk transfer solutions such as parametrics if traditional insurance is unavailable or inefficient.

How WTW can help

WTW offers a range of consultancy, modeling and analytic tools that can help food, beverage and agriculture businesses keep risk under control, act on opportunities, and digitize climate risk management and disclosure workflows.

Global Peril Diagnostic

Global Peril Diagnostic (GPD) is an interactive tool that provides a way of assessing your business against current climate and natural catastrophe risks using address and location information. Using GPD can help you:

  • See how climate risks may affect your business by identifying the highest risk locations and providing breakdowns by peril, continent or country.
  • Understand how a real-life incident affects your business’ locations by providing a live feed of events.
  • Get insights into risk factors in a region by looking at the impact of events which happened, or could have happened, in the location in the last year.
  • Identify which parts of your supply chain are most at risk and explore how an event in one location could affect other parts of the chain.
Climate Diagnostic

Climate Diagnostic provides scenario-driven insight regarding the current and projected exposure of individual asset locations to a range of climate risk factors, today and in future. Using globally consistent data, Climate Diagnostic enables businesses to identify concentrations of risk, prioritise risk management action, perform due diligence and meet disclosure requirements.

Climate Dashboard

WTW’s web-based dashboard enables stronger company-level oversight and management of climate risk. It integrates data from WTW’s climate analytics suite with your risk engineering data to provide a comprehensive view of risks and potential mitigations. The dashboard can also be customized to look more deeply at individual risks and adjust your strategy accordingly. For example, it can show:

  • How much of your revenue is exposed to specific climate risks and how this could change over time and with different climate scenarios
  • Which region or countries have most climate risks
  • Which of your properties are exposed to specific climate risks
  • Sector specific data such as water related metrics
Climate Quantified

Climate Quantified is a self-service tool that enables you to translate transition and physical risk into financial impact. Combining high-resolution climate data with WTW’s risk engineering and financial expertise, it helps to quantify the financial risks of climate change across your operations and supply chain. Financial impact is summarised in an executive summary page and an automatically generated report.

Crop Risks and Opportunities Platform (CROP)

WTW’s Crop Risks and Opportunities Platform (CROP) is a global geospatial dataset that can help you enhance supply chain resilience by enabling scenario-based assessment of the exposure of your raw commodity suppliers to climate risks. CROP integrates models of future yield, prices, cultivated area, and market suitability for producing major crops today and in the future under a range of climate scenarios, based on a comprehensive set of global land and climate-related data. WTW can provide data from CROP directly to you or we can do the analysis as part of a consulting engagement and if desired integrate the output into a Climate Dashboard.

Mandatory disclosure is increasing, and businesses are being required to report on their exposure to climate risks, as well as their climate risk management, governance and strategy.

Conclusion

Climate change has the potential to impact property, food production and every part of the supply chain. Mandatory disclosure is increasing, and businesses are being required to report on their climate change strategy.

WTW’s end-to-end consultancy and analytics solutions can help you plan, adapt and improve your climate resilience into the future, providing insights into the climate risks facing your business, with strategies to mitigate the risks and build resilience for your business today and far into the future.

For smarter ways to managing your climate risks, please reach out to our specialists today.

Authors


Director, Risk and Analytics Technology

Director – Core Analytics

Director, Climate & Catastrophe Risks

Associate Director – Physical Climate Risk
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Contact


Victor de Jager
Head of Property for Europe
Direct and Facultative, WTW

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