Missed cancer diagnoses in 2020 will impact cancer rates and costs
We know that cancer screening rates were down substantially in 2020, and I’ve seen anecdotal reports of higher rates of diagnosis of metastatic disease over the last two years. Now researchers have quantified how many cases of breast, lung and colorectal cancer were likely not diagnosed in 2020.
Researchers reported in the Journal of the American College of Surgeons that rates of diagnosis were down from predicted rates by almost 15% for breast cancer and about 18% for colorectal and lung cancer.
Implications for employers:
JAMA published a large national study of death certificates from 1999 to 2020 and found that non-Hispanic Black men and women die at rates substantially higher than white people. The difference in life expectancy for Black males decreased by almost half from 1999 to 2011 but started increasing even before the pandemic. The disparity is now back to the level it was at in 2000.
During this 21-year period, there were 1.63 million excess deaths among Black people, representing more than 80 million years of potential life lost. Excess deaths from heart disease and cancer were large components of total excess mortality.
A separate study by JAMA quantified the economic burden of health inequities for racial and ethnic minorities (including American Indian and Alaska Native, Asian, Black, Latino, and Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander populations), which was $421 billion to $451 billion in 2018.
Last month, KFF (formerly Kaiser Family Foundation) published data on the impact of the pandemic on life expectancy by race that show similar results. There was a decrease in life expectancy at birth across all races – this was greater for Black people (loss of four years) than white people (loss of 2.4 years).
This data can sometimes leave us numb. We must remember that disparities in life expectancy are deeply personal tragedies that affect entire families and communities.
Implications for employers:
Many employers use value-based insurance design in their pharmacy benefit design, offering selected high-value medications without cost sharing (e.g., medication to treat diabetes, high cholesterol, high blood pressure and asthma). Canadian researchers went one step further: providing 128 commonly used medications without cost to patients to determine if free drugs lower the overall cost of medical care. These drugs are largely generic, inexpensive and cover a wide range of chronic and acute illnesses.
The results, published last month in JAMA Health Forum, show that those randomly assigned to free medications had statistically significant lower overall healthcare costs and fewer hospitalizations and emergency department visits.
This is great news. Most interventions like this are cost effective, offering better health for a reasonable price, but not typically cost saving. The authors previously published an analysis showing that those randomized to free drugs had higher rates of adherence to prescribed medication.
A few caveats: This study explicitly recruited adults who said that they had skipped medications because of cost. It was performed in Canada where many have no pharmacy insurance and both drug prices and out-of-pocket medical costs are far lower than in the U.S. Further, the researchers did not include the cost of medications when calculating savings.
Implications for employers:
The CDC issued new guidelines for air exchanges and air filtration last month which could help decrease the spread of COVID-19 and other respiratory diseases. The American Society of Heat, Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE) also issued new draft standards that would require higher levels of air exchanges in schools, hospitals and workplaces.
The CDC guidelines are not enforceable regulations. Still, building operators now have clear guidance to aim for five complete air exchanges per hour, which is consistent with what public health experts recommend. The ASHRA draft standards will likely be finalized by summer and are often the basis of building codes.
This is excellent news. More air exchanges can prevent transmission of COVID-19, influenza, RSV and other respiratory viruses. Better filtration will also limit exposure to PM 2.5 particles (fine inhalable particles) from air pollution including wildfires, which increase the risk of heart and lung disease. During the recent wildfires in eastern Canada, New York City experienced an increase in emergency room visits for asthma, according to The New York Times.
Better quality indoor air also is associated with better ability to concentrate, which can improve productivity.
There is a cost to improving the quality of indoor air. Bringing in more outdoor air means conditioning it (heating in the winter and cooling in the summer), and higher efficiency filters make air handling units work harder. Nonetheless, many companies can make small adjustments to their existing air handling systems to improve indoor air quality.
I’ve been carrying around a carbon dioxide meter to assess whether there are enough air exchanges in small conference rooms. We all exhale carbon dioxide (CO2), so this is a good proxy for whether there are enough air exchanges.
Last week, I was in a business meeting with about eight others and the initial CO2 level was 600 (outdoor is 400, and up to 800 is fine, while over 1,000 means there is not enough air exchange.) Midway through the meeting I saw the meter edging up past 1,100. We opened the door and the CO2 level went down to under 700 within two minutes. Sometimes it takes very little to improve indoor air quality.
Some schools have installed CO2 monitors in classrooms to demonstrate their concern for clean indoor air. Here’s a link to the public-facing website where the Boston Public Schools disclose indoor air quality.
Implications for employers:
Jeff is an internal medicine physician and has led WTW’s clinical response to COVID-19 and other health-related topics. He has served in leadership roles in provider organizations and a health plan and is an Assistant Professor at Harvard Chan School of Public Health.